tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post8566085825625539424..comments2024-03-22T15:55:34.030-04:00Comments on Evo and Proud: The Crisis of the 2020sPeter Frosthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04303172060029254340noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-32128373880798630452018-02-12T13:07:05.381-05:002018-02-12T13:07:05.381-05:00@German_reader
>You have no idea what you are ...@German_reader<br /><br />>You have no idea what you are talking about, in Europe Antifa regularly beat up people, torch the cars of political opponents, vandalize their homes etc.<br /><br />This is just hearsay if you don't have some solid, verifiable evidence. <br /><br />>But then someone who writes of the "alt-right/neocon crowd" (the alt-right hates Neoconservatives, regarding them basically as just ethnocentric Jews and their gentile tools) doesn't seem to have much of a clue about anything anyway.<br /><br />I mean, when you only have a viewpoint based on no real proof except prejudice to push w/o any evidence resorting to ad hominems is to be expected. <br /><br /><br />@Peter Frost<br /><br />You disappoint me. Refusal to consider opposing evidence isn't going to help you gain a well rounded understanding of the subject. N.https://www.blogger.com/profile/17541162544906767332noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-73847951414983700672018-01-05T10:30:17.398-05:002018-01-05T10:30:17.398-05:00Mira-e,
You raise a valid point. Older people see...Mira-e,<br /><br />You raise a valid point. Older people seem to be overrepresented among victims of Antifa violence. Isn't this a case of cowards going after soft targets?Peter Frosthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04303172060029254340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-13486078339341002292018-01-04T12:20:12.680-05:002018-01-04T12:20:12.680-05:00"I think this irrational fear of the antifa n..."I think this irrational fear of the antifa needs to be questioned."<br /><br />You have no idea what you are talking about, in Europe Antifa regularly beat up people, torch the cars of political opponents, vandalize their homes etc. Just a few weeks ago there was a case in Spain, which had some Antifas beat a man to death because he wore braces with the national colors on them. But then someone who writes of the "alt-right/neocon crowd" (the alt-right hates Neoconservatives, regarding them basically as just ethnocentric Jews and their gentile tools) doesn't seem to have much of a clue about anything anyway.German_readernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-62330744553412125572018-01-03T19:10:09.911-05:002018-01-03T19:10:09.911-05:00I think this irrational fear of the antifa needs t...I think this irrational fear of the antifa needs to be questioned. I strongly suspect that this fear and denunciation is seen more often in those past middle age partly due to the fact that people tend to grow more conservative as they grow older and that they tend to get their news from conventional sources and are therefore only exposed to a particular pov. Antifa occupy a very important role as the opposition to the violent prone alt-right/neocon crowd, which is who deserves the condemnation. <br /><br />2017 - Dr. Cornel West speaks out about his own experiences with antifascists in Charlottesville.<br /><br />>https://www.facebook.com/democracynow/videos/10155598308598279/<br /><br />">We were there to get arrested. We couldn’t get arrested because the police had pulled back, and was just allowing fellow citizens to go at each other. And with all the consequences that would follow there from.<br /><br />The next day for example, of the 20 of us were standing, many of them clergy, we would have been crushed like cockroaches if it were not for the anarchists and antifascists.<br /><br />The antifascists. And the crucial were the anarchists, because they saved our lives actually. We would have been completely crushed and I’ll never forget that."<br /><br />some more writing worth your consideration:<br />>https://thoughtlessarse.tumblr.com/tagged/antifa<br /><br />N.https://www.blogger.com/profile/17541162544906767332noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-4984164131460922962017-12-31T10:07:55.774-05:002017-12-31T10:07:55.774-05:00Anatoly,
I don't see how India could take up C...Anatoly,<br />I don't see how India could take up China's slack. As you point out, this would require a massive expansion of that country's manufacturing sector. In addition, India's labor force is starting to shrink in those population groups that have been the most productive and innovative. An extreme example is that of the Parsis, whose fertility rate is 0.80 and who are decreasing in absolute numbers. Fertility rates are also well below replacement in the southern states, which are home to India's IT industry.<br /><br />I suspect that trust varies within East Asia, Japan being the highest-trust society, but that's only my impression. In general, East Asians score high on empathy, but it seems to be mostly cognitive empathy rather than affective empathy.<br /><br />Sykes,<br /><br />Unfortunately, yes. I remember a passage in Dr. Zhivago where a character talks about murder as something that, before the revolution, seemed to happen only in books or plays. It wasn't something that was openly advocated and practiced. What bothers me today, here in the West, is that the stigma against political violence has greatly weakened. Once that stigma is gone, we will see not only more acts of political violence but also more political assassinations. And this loss of stigma is not limited to the antifa. It's also the case in political and military circles. The U.S. State Department is openly interfering in the upcoming election in Hungary. And Hungary is a NATO ally!<br /><br />Jeppo,<br /><br />Austria is already in the nationalist camp. On the basis of cultural similarity, I would expect to see a similar political shift in countries like Switzerland, Slovenia, Croatia, and adjacent lands in Germany. The 2018 Italian election will also produce interesting results.<br /><br />What you say about Quebec is true. On the one hand, English Canada is becoming the ground zero for postnationalism. On the other, French Canada is returning to nationalism. There are also cultural spillover effects from France.<br /><br />Calculus,<br /><br />I disagree with your analysis. The postnational class, and by this I include not only politicians but also much of the business community, is largely non-Jewish. Yes, Jews are overrepresented, but the same can be said for most areas of political, economic, and intellectual life. There are strong economic incentives for globalism and postnationalism, and these incentives appeal to businessmen regardless of their ethnicity.<br /><br />As for sex dolls, their main impact will be to cause many men, especially men over 45 to withdraw from the mate market. We will return to the situation that prevailed before the 1980s, when there were more single women than single men in all age brackets. Declining male mortality and liberalization of divorce laws have created an abnormal situation (at least in the West) where large numbers of men cannot find mates.Peter Frosthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04303172060029254340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-17192473776166548892017-12-27T11:44:38.265-05:002017-12-27T11:44:38.265-05:00...all these trends :
Societal, such as genderisms......all these trends :<br />Societal, such as genderisms, consumerisms, technologisms for example : could the advent of sex dolls for celibates neuter an otherwise out of control male populace ? <br />political, such as globalisms, nationalisms, mystical such as Zionism<br />Religious <br />Demographic<br />and so on, are similar to a neural network of interactions and this is way too complicated for a single human mind to encompass.<br />But Artificial intelligence could do it. For a example a recent Google AI learnt Chess, and reached the level of Master, in a matter of only a few hours.<br />I have no doubt that a self learning program can elaborate a very good computer simulation of the entire society, based on trillions of probabilistic Bayesian interactions, and in fact, I am convinced that everyone of us here can be efficiently integrated, as 'players', in this simulation based on our internet use, credit card use and other inferences. <br />And when you can predict you can also influence. So what appeared to us as an 'a posteriori' event could very well be the output of such Bayesian simulation, that predicted for example how far you can go (go = starve, repress, or kill) the Greek population and still stay in control. <br />it takes big computers OK, but google and the deep state already have models for the evolution of our societies. calculusnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-66925871840667121382017-12-27T11:17:42.078-05:002017-12-27T11:17:42.078-05:00Interesting ideas about a core of 'pro-globali...Interesting ideas about a core of 'pro-globalist' countries using their military power to repress, or at least counter, the anti-globalist aspirations of their peripheral vassal countries.<br />Although you omit to mention that the idea of a global western block is the childbrain of the Jewish mind. For example Jacque Attali, jewish adviser of former French presidents of all political sides from Mitterand to Francois Hollande, envisioned in one of his books, a global 'West' with capital Jerusalem. Again I insist : Attali specifically mentioned Jerusalem as the capital of a Global Government and Attali is not exactly a right wing conspiracy theorist.<br /><br />By the way, the repressive, globalist and pro-zionist core has already been used. Against Greece specifically. Million of people were demonstrating in the streets for 10 years, this is far above, in magnitude, any forces that the French revolution or even the American revolution put in the streets. Yet the Greek revolution has been successfully repressed from the outside. 'Outside' here was Europe and more specifically Germany. How ? simply through subsidies and loans supposedly directed to help the Greek economy (hahaha) but that were in truth directed to pay the Greek police to fight the insurgencies. It worked. Greece was completely and totally bankrupted and had no money for the basic cares of its own citizen, such as hospitals and food for the poors, which normally means that left on its own, Greece should NOT have been capable to pay its own police force.<br />This is the definition of a successful Revolution : when the people are in the streets and there is no Police force to repress them, it's game over for the state.<br /><br />This doesn't work anymore in a global west where a State Repressive force is technically outsourced, at least financially, to the globalist center, whatever you call it Europe, Germany or New York/Jerusalem.<br />Conclusion : True Revolutions (which exclude the Orange and Arab springs) cannot succeed anymore at the scale of a single Nation, they must be global to succeed. <br /><br />I worry more about the societal collapse of all the ideological framework that hold the western society together. We saw the speed of such collapse with the feminist-driven anti male movement. But everything else is collapsing. For example, the Christian religion has become a pro-globalist, pro-immigration, farce and you would be surprised by the strength of the old ancestral philosophies that everybody thought were dead. <br />In 50 years from now, most of the ethnic Whites should back to their ancestral beliefs and Christianity could very well face a period of repression similar to the first and second centuries (...when what goes around comes around). But since ethnic Whites won't be a majority in 50 years in the West, probably some sort of Gnostic Atheism should be religion number 1 (especially among mixed race), followed by Islam as religion number 2 (for dumb and dumber), followed by the Ancestral Indo-European such as Wotanism as number 3 (for the Whites) and Christians will be back in the Circus...but not as spectators. <br /> calculusnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-36184973581847570072017-12-24T08:40:26.708-05:002017-12-24T08:40:26.708-05:00Nationalist parties will be in power over most of ...<i>Nationalist parties will be in power over most of Europe, but the Western European "core"—the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—will still be postnational.</i><br /><br />Brexit strengthens the position of the East Euro nationalists within the EU, but they'll still be outnumbered 3-1 by the West Euro globalists. <br /><br />To truly change the balance of power in Europe the nationalists will have to turn some nearby West Euro nations (Austria, Finland, Greece, Cyprus), and expand the EU into the Western Balkans, Ukraine-Belarus-Moldova, and eventually even Russia.<br /><br />The centre of gravity in a Lisbon-to-Vladivostok EU would shift from Brussels to Prague, the likely new capital city. Imagine a nationalistic, Prague-centric EU dictating terms to its recalcitrant western provinces like Germany and Sweden: NO MORE MIGRANTS.<br /><br />On a smaller scale I could see something like this happening in Canada. If the nationalist CAQ party wins the next Quebec election and reduces immigration by 20%, like they've promised, they will come into direct conflict with a federal government fanatically committed to ratcheting up immigration levels.<br /><br />The only real resistance to mass immigration in Canada is in Quebec, outside Montreal. This relatively new conservative nationalist movement is based in the Quebec City area, unquestionably the alt-right capital of Canada.<br /><br />If these patriotic insurgents take power in Quebec they will at least start the conversation about immigration levels in the rest of Canada, and hopefully inspire some "conservative" politicians elsewhere to hop on the anti-immigration bandwagon.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />jeppohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07286282307701872196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-27033192746162525952017-12-23T16:19:48.181-05:002017-12-23T16:19:48.181-05:00Low growth would halt displacement immigration, be...Low growth would halt displacement immigration, be good for Global Warming, take the wind out China's sails, and fit with controls on certain research. As currently constituted the personnel of the Western elite cannot <i>openly</i> accept the genetic facts of life in relation to other regions, but they desire to import "top business talent and international students", which seems to be an implicit acknowledgment that the Indian upper- middle class (for instance) exceed the Western average for genetic reasons. <br /><br />The great achievement of the postwar world has that been borders are no longer being changed by war, but countries are being transformed by demographic osmosis. I am afraid that only armed conflict will halt the inundation. I'm sure Russia will get the blame for it. China's penetration of Eastern Europe is the wild card in all this.Seannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-76278200479990980232017-12-23T07:37:59.110-05:002017-12-23T07:37:59.110-05:00Dear Peter,
Comparing the USSR and Warsaw Pact to...Dear Peter,<br /><br />Comparing the USSR and Warsaw Pact to the EU/NATO is somewhat disturbing, to say the least. Is the West really capable of the kinds of atrocities (Hungary and Czechoslovakia, eg) that the USSR routinely committed? 1984, indeed.<br /><br />Yours,<br /><br />Bobsykes.1https://www.blogger.com/profile/10954672321945289871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-84727900924785655622017-12-22T10:37:21.748-05:002017-12-22T10:37:21.748-05:00Excellent essay. A few notes:
1. Average manufact...Excellent essay. A few notes:<br /><br />1. Average manufacturing wages in China are now higher than in Mexico, which implies the inflationary period might be close at hand (if the theory that the Chinese "reserve army of labor" suppressed global inflation during the 2000s is correct).<br /><br />2. Not S.S. Africa, but could India take up China's slack? They are growing pretty fast now as well, though manufacturing remains a tiny fraction of China's.<br /><br />3. On East Asians: They don't do <a href="http://www.unz.com/akarlin/antisocial-punishment-why-china-will-defeat-corruption-but-russia-and-the-arabs-wont/" rel="nofollow">asocial punishment</a> any more than Core Europeans do (unlike South and East Europeans, Arabs). They are also about as future time oriented as the Anglos, which one assumes is unlikely to arise in a very low-trust environment.akarlinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08322298490656235467noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-59179010960718743262017-12-21T14:47:24.726-05:002017-12-21T14:47:24.726-05:00Luke and Anon,
High-trust societies have develope...Luke and Anon,<br /><br />High-trust societies have developed independently in Northwest Europe and East Asia, so the underlying behavioral and psychological mechanisms are different. The former are "guilt societies," where correct behavior is maintained by internal restraints (guilt) whenever one breaks a moral rule. The latter are "shame societies" where correct behavior is maintained by external restraints (shaming by others or simply a feeling of shame when one realizes that others are aware of one's wrongdoing).<br /><br />Sykes,<br /><br />In both the U.S. and Western Europe, the situation is alarming because groups like the Antifa openly practice violence and go unpunished. They have in fact become a form of extrajudicial police who do the sort of thing that death squads do in other countries. <br /><br />Czechoslovakia was a member state of the Warsaw Pact. That didn't prevent other member states from invading in 1968.Peter Frosthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04303172060029254340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-32422053105979464112017-12-20T12:24:05.870-05:002017-12-20T12:24:05.870-05:00Independently of the international situation, Pete...Independently of the international situation, Peter Turchin (the UConn economic historian of social upheaval) notes that intra-elite strife in the US is at its highest level since the eve of the Civil War. He predicts widespread political violence in the US beginning sometime in the 2020's, so we seem to be in for a perfect storm. It might be noted that in the 60's American political strife was paralleled by political strife in Europe; 1968 was the culminative year everywhere.<br /><br />PS. "NATO may try to intervene in one or more countries in eastern or central Europe." Central Europe would be Poland and other NATO countries. Do you actually mean you think NATO will interfere militarily in the internal affairs of its member states. They would have nationalist governments in opposition to the EU's dicta, but an attempt to overthrow them seems unlikely in the extreme. <br /><br />An intervention in Ukraine would be intolerable to Russia, and it would lead to a general European war. No doubt China will take the opportunity to straighten out the Taiwanese.sykes.1https://www.blogger.com/profile/10954672321945289871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-52838172255231260732017-12-19T23:16:21.392-05:002017-12-19T23:16:21.392-05:00There are high levels of trust in East Asian count...There are high levels of trust in East Asian countries, it's just that the social expectations and behavioral norms and patterns that are trusted differ from those of the West. A common example is the role of contracts in business. Contracts and the sanctity of contractual obligations are central to the conduct of business in the West. One doesn't have to trust anything about one's counterparty except that he is a rational actor who is properly incentivized to uphold his contractual obligations by the legal system and by reputational risks. This is why lawyers are prominent in the conduct of business and are employed to make sure obligations are minimized and maximized and defended against. This is based on the adversarial system of law. Ultimately what is trusted is a third party or parties to pass judgments and enforce them. <br /><br />By contrast, contracts in East Asian countries are more of a ritual or formality that signifies the beginning or opening of a relationship, and relationships in East Asian contexts have certain expectations and obligations. The trust is in the relationships and the behavioral norms and patterns they entail. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3734925856292601239.post-83756235731078519572017-12-19T20:23:13.781-05:002017-12-19T20:23:13.781-05:00Interesting essay, as usual, especially the first ...Interesting essay, as usual, especially the first half. I take issue with one minor point however, namely that "East Asian" culture is "characterized by high levels of trust." This is simply not true from everything I have read.Luke Leahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11290760894780619646noreply@blogger.com