Mean
number of children as a function of geographic distance between Danish marriage
partners (Labouriau and Amorim 2008).
Most
of us know about the genetics costs of inbreeding. If you do a Google search
for "inbreeding is bad," you get 35,900 hits. "Outbreeding is bad" yields only 2.
Yet
outbreeding does incur genetic costs. It can reduce fitness either by
introducing alleles that are unsuited to the local environment or by disrupting
co-adapted gene complexes. When a native trout species was hybridized with
non-native trout, fertility fell by half with as little as 20% admixture
(Muhlfeld et al. 2009).
Fertility
is the canary in the coal mine. A measurable decline is a sign that some genes
are malfunctioning, either at the time of fertilization or during embryonic
development. A malfunction can occur because the genes from the mother and
father are too similar—the risk is higher that both copies of a gene will be
defective. It can also occur because one copy is too different—incompatibilities
may develop with other genes.
That's
what we know from data on fish and other animals. But what about our species?
At what degree of relatedness do the costs of human outbreeding start to exceed
the benefits? When you marry a Neanderthal? The answer may surprise you. An
Icelandic study found that fertility peaks at marriages between third or fourth
cousins. Fertility is lower when the prospective parents are more closely
related ... or less.
Our results, drawn from all known couples of the Icelandic population born between 1800 and 1965, show a significant positive association between kinship and fertility, with the greatest reproductive success observed for couples related at the level of third and fourth cousins. Owing to the relative socioeconomic homogeneity of Icelanders, and the observation of highly significant differences in the fertility of couples separated by very fine intervals of kinship, we conclude that this association is likely to have a biological basis. (Helgason et al. 2008)
The data come from a time when birth control was not widely practiced. Nonetheless, there may have been something different about Icelanders who married beyond their fourth cousins. Perhaps they were more likely to go to university, meet someone from the other side of the country, and eventually settle down and have children late in life.
These
socioeconomic factors were controlled in a Danish study that measured
geographic distance between marriage partners:
The Danish study was based on the cohort of all women born in Denmark in 1954 who were alive and living in Denmark in 1969, totaling 42,165 women. This cohort was followed up to the end of 1999. The number of children born to each mother between the ages of 15 and 45 years old was determined and is referred to as fertility. The mean marital radius (MR) associated with each mother in the cohort was estimated using the distance between the centroids of the parish where she was born and the parishes where the partners with which she had children were born. (Labouriau and Amorim 2008)
Fertility peaked at around 75 km. This relationship between fertility and marital radius was not explained by education, family income, urbanicity, or mother's age at first birth. The authors concluded that their findings were consistent with those of the Icelandic study, the cause being the same in both cases: fertility rises with decreasing relatedness up to a peak level and then starts to fall. Inbreeding depression then gives way to outbreeding depression.
How
exactly does outbreeding reduce fertility? Joffe (2010) points to the steady
decline in sperm quality since the early 20th century, suggesting it may be due
to an increase in outbreeding. He rejects the usually cited cause: the rising
level of estrogenic compounds in the environment, e.g., dioxin, DDT, PCBs,
PBBs, phthalates, etc. This proposed cause fails to explain why the sperm
quality decline has varied so much spatially, even within the same country.
Why, for instance, has it been steep in Paris and nonexistent in Toulouse? Why
is it nonexistent in domestic animals that are just as exposed to estrogenic
compounds? Finally, the decline seems to have begun before most of these
compounds began to be commercially produced.
Joffe
(2010) also suggests that there may be a parallel decline in egg quality. We
don't really know because sperm is much easier to collect than eggs for
large-scale study.
Do we now have
outbreeding depression?
Today,
inbreeding depression has largely disappeared throughout the Western world. For
a long time the beneficial effects of outbreeding were shown by a steady
increase in height and a steady decrease in the age of menarche. Both trends
have now ground to a halt:
In Northern Europe, adult height has largely stabilised, and the age of menarche has also settled at around 13 years, while weight continues to increase due to obesity. (Cole 2003)
The steady rise in IQ, known as the Flynn Effect, has sometimes been attributed to outbreeding, although this explanation has been challenged (Flynn 2007, pp. 101-102; Woodley 2011). In any case, the Flynn Effect, too, is slowing throughout the West (Flynn 2007, p. 143). In Scandinavia, mean IQ peaked during the late 1990s and has since declined (Teasdale and Owen 2005).
Has
outbreeding become more problematic than inbreeding? That's what the latest
findings suggest, yet that doesn't at all seem to be the current wisdom.
References
Cole,
T.J. (2003). The secular trend in human physical growth: a biological view. Economics & Human Biology 1(2): 161-168.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1570-677X(02)00033-3
Flynn,
J.R. (2007). What is Intelligence? Beyond
the Flynn Effect. Cambridge University Press.
https://books.google.ca/books?id=qvBipuypYUkC&printsec=frontcover&hl=fr&source=gbs_ge_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=false
Helgason,
A., S. Pálsson, D.F. Guðbjartsson, þ. Kristjánsson, K. Stefánsson. (2008). An
association between the kinship and fertility of human couples. Science 319(5864): 813-816.
http://facelab.org/debruine/Teaching/EvPsych/files/Helgason_2008.pdf
Joffe,
M. (2010). What has happened to human fertility? Human Reproduction 25(2): 295-307.
https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dep390
https://academic.oup.com/humrep/article/25/2/295/671754
Labouriau,
R., and A. Amorim. (2008). Comment on "An Association Between the Kinship
and Fertility of Human Couples" Science
322(5908): 1634
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1161907
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/322/5908/1634.2.full
Muhlfeld,
C.C., S.T Kalinowski, T.E. McMahon, M.L.
Taper, S. Painter, R.F. Leary, F.W. Allendorf. (2009). Hybridization rapidly
reduces fitness of a native trout in the wild. Biology Letters, March 18
http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/early/2009/03/13/rsbl.2009.0033.short
Teasdale,
T.W., and D.R. Owen. (2005). A long-term rise and recent decline in
intelligence test performance: The Flynn Effect in reverse. Personality and Individual Differences
39(4): 837-843.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2005.01.029
Woodley,
M.A. (2011). Heterosis doesn't cause the Flynn effect: A critical examination
of Mingroni (2007). Psychological Review
118(4): 689-693.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/a0024759 

