Incidence of chlamydia, a major cause of
infertility. The high polygyny rate among the “female farming” peoples of
sub-Saharan Africa may have favored the evolution of STDs. Is this where we
should look for the precursor of the hypothetical “gay germ”? (source)
Heritability for male homosexuality is low to
moderate (30 to 45%). There is thus some kind of genetic predisposition, but
it’s weak and may simply be a low degree of pre-natal androgenization. All
things being equal, such individuals would still develop a heterosexual
orientation.
But all things aren’t equal. Something out there is
tipping these individuals over the threshold that separates heterosexual from
homosexual orientation. What is it? I suspect there are several causes,
including the rising level of estrogens and estrogen-like substances in the
environment over the past century (see previous post).
The cause may also be a pathogen that alters its
host’s sexual orientation in order to enhance its chances of spreading to other
hosts. This is the “gay germ” theory proposed by Greg Cochran (Cochran et al.,
2000). It’s interesting, and there are certainly precedents for this kind of
psychological manipulation … from zombie ants to rats losing their fear of cats.
But so far there’s no smoking gun. No candidate
pathogens have been identified, although some STDs seem to have adapted to
non-heterosexual modes of transmission, e.g., the bacterium responsible for
bacterial vaginosis, particularly Gardnerella vaginalis, and some strains of
vaginal yeast (see previous post).
Another objection is that natural selection should
reduce host susceptibility. As Ron Unz (2013) has recently argued:
Cochran and others ridicule the
gene model as absurd, arguing that strong selective pressure would have rapidly
eliminated any such genes from the population, and this is not unreasonable.
But similar criticism could applied to their own model, since genetic
susceptibility to the germ would obviously be subject to equally powerful
selective disadvantage.
A lot of pathogens seem undeterred by this argument.
People die all the time from infections of one sort or another. One reason is
that pathogens have shorter generation times and thus can evolve faster than
their hosts can. An evolutionary equilibrium will eventually fall into place,
but it will be heavily weighted in the pathogen’s favor. There are also limits
to what a host can do. If the host’s defense system becomes too sensitive, it
will attack not only possible pathogens but also host tissues.
Still, the most catastrophic epidemics tend to burn
themselves out, largely because they destroy the pool of individuals they can
most easily spread amongst. The Plague of Justinian of the 6th and 7th
centuries may have wiped out half of Europe’s population. Then it disappeared.
The Black Death of the 14th century killed between one and two thirds of all
Europeans. It too disappeared, the last possible outbreaks being in the 18th
century. This is not the case, however, with STDs, even in places where the
consequences are dramatic, such as Africa’s “infertility belt”:
Africa shares the largest burden
of infertility in the world. Estimates indicate that an average of 10.1% of
couples experience infertility in Africa, with a high percentage of 32% in some
countries and ethnic groups within Africa. An infertility belt” spreading
through West Africa, through Central Africa to East Africa has been described.
In some countries in this belt, up to one-third of women may be childless at
the end of their reproductive lives. (Okonofu & Obi, 2009)
A pathogen would not sterilize one third of the
population, generation after generation, unless it had something to gain, as
Ron Unz notes. In sub-Saharan Africa, infertility can lead to abandonment of
the wife, thus making her a better vehicle for pathogen transmission:
The high prevalence of untreated
STD, resulting in increased infertility acts paradoxically to increase rather
than decrease the fertility in Africa. Infertility is devastating for an
African woman, resulting in divorce and diminished social status that often
leads to prostitution. The fear of infertility results in refusal of
contraception and early childbearing to demonstrate fertility. (O’Reilly, 1986)
Other separated women owe their
status to infertility, which is a frequent reason for being driven from
marriage and for being unable to marry […] Nadel […] identified such women as a
major source of prostitutes: “Adultery and unchastity count less in her than
other women. [The] paramount stigma [is] barrenness itself.” (Caldwell et al.,1989)
The existence of Africa’s infertility belt is
generally attributed to a high prevalence of STDs, particularly gonorrhea and
chlamydia (Collet et al., 1988), which in turn is related to a high polygyny
rate (20 to 40% of all sexual unions throughout most of sub-Saharan Africa),
which in turn is related to the low cost of maintaining a second or third wife,
which in turn is related to year-round hoe farming and the ability of women to
support themselves and their children with little male assistance.
We know that the AIDS virus evolved in sub-Saharan
Africa, and it may be that syphilis evolved out of yaws, likewise endemic to
sub-Saharan Africa. It may be that this region favors the evolution of STDs; if
so, we might best look for the precursor of the “gay germ” there as well,
assuming of course that it does exist.
References
Caldwell, J.C., P. Caldwell, and P. Quiggin. (1989).
The social context of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa, Population and Development Review, 15, 185-234.
https://www.soc.umn.edu/~meierann/Teaching/Population/Readings/Feb%209%20Caldwell.pdf
Collet, M., J. Reniers, E. Frost, R. Gass, F. Yvert,
A. Leclerc, C. Roth-Meyer, B. Ivanoff, and A. Meheus. (1988). Infertility in
Central Africa: Infection is the cause, International
Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics, 26,
423–428 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0020-7292(88)90340-2
Cochran, G.M., Ewald, P.W., and Cochran, K.D.
(2000). Infectious causation of disease: an evolutionary perspective, Perspectives in Biology and Medicine, 43, 406-448.
Okonofu, F.E. and H. Obi. (2009). Specialized Versus
Conventional Treatment of infertility in Africa: Time for a Pragmatic Approach,
African Journal of Reproductive Health,
13, 9-11.
http://www.ajrh.info/vol13_no1/13_1_editorial_english.php
O’Reilly, K.R. (1986). Sexual behaviour, perceptions
of infertility and family planning in sub-Saharan Africa, African Journal of Sexually Transmitted Diseases, 2, 47-49.
Unz, R. (2013). “Gay gene” vs. “gay germ”, April 16,
The American Conservative,
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/gay-gene-vs-gay-germ/.jpeg?uselang=fr)